

Steel
Overview
The price indices in our Argus Ferrous Markets and Argus Global Steel services are widely used by companies in physical supply contracts around the world – for iron ore, coking coal, hot-rolled coil (HRC) and ferrous scrap.
Many of them are used as the settlement prices for cash-settled futures contracts launched by exchanges to allow users of the derivatives who also transact in the physical market to minimize basis risk while hedging. These cash-settled monthly futures contracts are settled against the arithmetic mean of all the published Argus prices during each calendar month.
Using indices allows companies to trade material on an index-linked basis, not only via fixed-prices sales. This offers significant advantages when prices are volatile, yet the modern finished steel market remains primarily transacted on a fixed price basis. The addition of futures markets offers opportunities to enhance supply chain resilience further.
Latest steel news
UK ETS emissions fell by 11pc on the year in 2024
UK ETS emissions fell by 11pc on the year in 2024
Seville, 12 June (Argus) — Emissions in sectors covered by the UK emissions trading scheme (ETS) declined by 11.5pc year on year in 2024, data published by the UK ETS authority show, slowing their decline slightly from the previous year. Stationary installations covered by the UK ETS emitted 76.7mn t of CO2 equivalent (CO2e), down by 12.9pc from 2023, the data show. But this was offset somewhat by a 2pc increase in aviation emissions to 8.99mn t CO2e. Overall UK ETS emissions now have declined for two consecutive years, having fallen by 12.5pc in 2023. Emissions under the scheme rose by 2.5pc in 2022, as a strong rebound in aviation activity following earlier Covid-19 restrictions outweighed declining stationary emissions. Stationary emissions have decreased in every year since the scheme launched in 2021. The majority of the decline in stationary emissions under the UK ETS last year took place in the power sector, where emissions dropped by 18.2pc to 30.6mn t CO2e. The country's last coal-fired plant, Ratcliffe-on-Soar, closed in September last year. And the share of gas-fired output in the generation mix dipped as wind, solar and biomass production and electricity imports edged higher. Industrial emissions also declined, by 8.9pc to 46.1mn t CO2e. The iron and steel sector posted the largest relative drop of 30pc to 6.54mn t CO2e. Emissions from crude extraction fell by 6.4pc to 6.0mn t CO2e, while emissions from gas extraction, manufacture and distribution activities decreased by 8.9pc to 5.3mn t CO2e. The chemicals sector emitted 2.28mn t CO2e, down by 5.2pc on the year. A total of 43 installations were marked as having surrendered fewer carbon allowances than their cumulative emissions since the launch of the UK ETS, as of 1 May. A further two installations failed to report their emissions by the deadline. "Appropriate enforcement action" will be taken against operators that fail to surrender the required allowances, the UK ETS authority said. Overall greenhouse gas emissions across the UK economy dropped by a smaller 4pc last year, data published by the government in March show. This decline also was driven principally by lower gas and coal use in the power and industry sectors, with smaller declines in transport and agriculture, not covered by the UK ETS, and an increase in buildings emissions, also out of the scheme's scope. Emissions under the EU ETS in 2024 dipped by a projected 4.5pc from a year earlier, based on preliminary data published by the European Commission in April. The UK and EU last month announced that they will "work towards" linking the two systems together. By Victoria Hatherick UK ETS emissions mn t CO2e Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
India, Turkey drive US April met coal exports
India, Turkey drive US April met coal exports
London, 11 June (Argus) — US coking coal exports picked up slightly on the year in April despite lower Atlantic consumption, driven by buyers in India and Turkey. Suppliers in the country shipped 3.28mn t of coking coal in the month, according to data from GlobalTradeTracker, a 4pc increase from April 2024. India took 600,000t from the US in April, 62pc more than the year before, while exports to Turkey jumped by 275pc to 289,000t. Participants in the US market shifted their attention to India when China placed tariffs on US coals in February. Suppliers shipped no new tonnes to China in the month, with two diverting cargoes to other countries, according to port logs and data from vessel tracking service Kpler. A US east coast supplier found a buyer for the diverted tonnes in South Korea, while a ship carrying coal from Alabama changed its destination to Japan. US coking coal exports to Poland were the highest since 2010 and the fourth-largest in history, probably as a result of lost domestic production by Polish coking coal and met coke producer Jastrzebska Spolka Weglowa (JSW) earlier this year. The European country took 267,000t from the US, a 368pc increase from the year before. Although Polish importers took fewer seaborne tonnes in total in April, Chinese sanctions on US coking coal drove Canadian suppliers to China and pushed US high-volatile prices down, making US imports more attractive. Canada exported 178,000t to Poland in April 2024 and sent no cargoes in the same month this year. The US sent 1.23mn t to the EU in April, a 10pc drop from the year before. Importers in the Netherlands took 26pc less at 408,000t. Suppliers sent significantly less to Austria, with exports falling by 73pc to 74,000t. Suppliers shipped no new tonnes to China in the month, with two diverting cargoes to other countries, according to port logs and data from Kpler. A US east coast supplier found a buyer for the diverted tonnes in South Korea, while a ship carrying coal from Alabama changed its destination to Japan. By Austin Barnes US coking coal exports Apr 2025 '000t Country Apr 2025 Apr 2024 %±y-o-y World 3,281 3,145 4 India 600 370 62 Brazil 440 448 -2 Netherlands 408 549 -26 Turkey 289 77 275 Poland 267 57 368 Italy 201 114 76 Japan 182 235 -23 Malaysia 151 0 N/A Canada 117 158 -26 Vietnam 102 0 N/A — GTT Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US inflation up to 2.4pc in May, energy down
US inflation up to 2.4pc in May, energy down
Houston, 11 June (Argus) — US inflation ticked up to an annualized 2.4pc in May as core inflation remained unchanged, a sign US president Donald Trump's shifting tariff policies have yet to meaningfully impact prices. The consumer price index rose from an annual 2.3pc in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Analysts surveyed by Trading Economics had forecast a gain of 2.5pc. Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 2.8pc over the 12-month period, unchanged from the prior month. The energy index contracted by 3.5pc for the 12 months compared with a 3.7pc contraction through April. The CME's FedWatch tool shows 99.9pc probability the Federal Reserve will hold its target rate unchanged at 4.25-4.5pc at its meeting next week, compared with 97.3pc Tuesday, and as much as a 67pc chance of a likely cut in September. The Fed has said it will monitor the evolving impacts of Trump's tariff, fiscal and other policies on prices and the broader economy before resuming its course of rate cuts, on pause since December. The food index rose by 2.9pc over the past year, quickening from 2.8pc in the 12 months through April. Services less energy services, viewed as a core services measure, rose by 3.6pc in the 12 months through May, unchanged from April. Gasoline fell by 12pc over the 12-month period through May while piped gas services rose by 15.3pc. Shelter rose by an annual 3.9pc. New vehicles rose by an annual 0.4pc. On a monthly basis, CPI rose by 0.1pc in May following a 0.2pc gain in April and a 0.1pc contraction in March. Shelter rose by 0.3pc for the month, leading the overall monthly gain. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
N EU HRC market anticipates price rise/import surge
N EU HRC market anticipates price rise/import surge
London, 11 June (Argus) — North European hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are expected to increase later this year, as buyers move early to avoid anticipated supply-side constraints. Europe's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) will increase the cost of imports from January 2026. There are unconfirmed reports that the commission will set the CBAM benchmark for blast furnace-based imports at 1.4t. If true, this would add nearly €53/t to the cost of importing HRC with a carbon intensity of 2.1t, assuming a carbon cost of €72.07/t. The commission will also provide more clarity around its proposed melt-and-pour clause in the third quarter. Should this be imposed in the first half of 2026, it will increase the cost of importing cold-rolled coil (CRC) and hot-dip galvanised. Legal sources suggest that the commission could mandate payment of anti-dumping duties for those that continue to use Chinese substrate. For example, if a re-roller buys Chinese HRC, processes it into CRC and sells it in the EU, it may be liable for the dumping duties currently in place on Chinese HRC, the lowest of which is around 18.1pc. This would not necessarily reduce EU imports of downstream products, and is hard to enforce, but could raise the floor price as re-rollers source more domestically. There will also be changes made to the current steel safeguard, which lapses in June 2026. European steel association Eurofer wants the safeguard to be replaced as early as January 2026 to reduce import penetration, and given the risk of supposed trade diversion from the US where tariffs have now been increased to 50pc for most exporters. Eurofer has been outspoken in its demand for a 50pc cut in imports, to realign market share with historical norms. It is not clear if the commission will acquiesce to this request, but officials have already stated that the new measure will be stricter than the current mechanism. However, some suggest a pre-emptive import surge — as traders race to clear customs before costs rise — could increase supply rapidly in a subdued demand environment. A number of traders have openly admitted to trying to import substantial quantities for fourth-quarter clearance to beat the CBAM and any other potential tariffs. Whatever regulatory obstacles may appear, demand is still the major issue for the steel supply chain. There is potential demand upside from German stimulus efforts, and should wider geopolitical uncertainty ease this year. EU industrial production has started to grow of late, after years of decline, and German manufacturing inventories and new orders are trending the right way too — stocks are falling from high levels, and new orders are contracting less than before. But slower economic growth and rising trade uncertainty also pose downside demand risks — for example, automotive companies and their supply chains are currently grappling with production issues because of reduced Chinese rare earth exports . Should trade tension increase, there is a risk of further supply-side constraints impacting steel-using sectors. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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